Current Regime · Cycle 2026-07-03
Constructive Watch
Direction 58.2/100 ·
Stability 75.7/100
Intelligence Brief AI · Live
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Why this read?
Signal breakdown — what supports, limits, and what to watch
What supports
Price pressure is constructive — momentum signals are broadly aligned.
Venue coverage is broad — the move is confirmed across major exchanges.
What limits
25) — market caution is elevated.
What to watch
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Direction Score
58.2/100
Constructive directional bias. Momentum signals are broadly aligned.
Stability Score
75.7/100
Structure looks stable. Venue coverage is broad, volatility contained.
Signal Breakdown
Six weighted inputs — their scores drive the direction reading above
Price Pressure
63.2
Weight 34%
Venue Coverage
73.0
Weight 16%
BTC/ETH Transmission
44.3
Weight 18%
Broad Market
49.2
Weight 8%
Ecosystem / Structure
58.0
Weight 14%
ETF / Institutional
50.0
Weight 10%
Engine Context
Systematic read behind the scores — directional and structural narrative
BTC is in a neutral directional band (Direction 58.2/100). No dominant bias is confirmed.
Market structure looks stable (Stability 75.7/100). Venue coverage is broad and price volatility is contained.
Bitcoin Network
On-chain mining and network statistics — blockchain.info · 10-min cache
Hash Rate
925.0 EH/s
Network security
Difficulty
133.87T
Current epoch
Block Height
956,194
139 mined in last 24h
BTC Mined
20,050,606
95.48% of 21M supply
BTC Left to Mine
949,394
4.519999999999996% remaining
Block Time
9.9m
Avg minutes between blocks
Network data updated 2026-07-01 09:41 UTC
Macro Pressure
Global risk and commodity signals — 30-min cache · Yahoo Finance
WTI Crude
68.59
$/bbl
-0.92%
Brent Crude
71.97
$/bbl
-0.03%
Gold
3,992.50
$/oz
-2.11%
Broad Market Context
CoinMarketCap — total cap, dominance, sentiment, rotation
Total Market Cap$2.17T
BTC Dominance57.9%
ETH Dominance9.8%
Fear & Greed25 · fear
Rotationunknown
ETF / Institutional Context
Flow data scaled to BTC AUM tier
ETF Flow Signal
neutral
ETF flow data not confirmed.
Institutional score: 50.0/100
Cross-Asset Context
BTC/ETH relationship in the active cycle
Active Cycle Window
Live
BTC and ETH moved higher together in this window.
Lead-lag: simultaneous
Active Macro Context
Manually confirmed events affecting the market window
Middle East possible escalation
geopolitical
Middle East possible escalation
2026-05-24
· scope: both
7-Day Cycle Archive
Sealed daily cycles — 09:00 GST boundary
| Cycle Date |
Closing Regime |
Avg Direction |
Avg Stability |
Price Change |
Snapshots |
| 2026-07-02 |
Constructive Watch |
59.8 |
70.8 |
+1.14%
|
2439 |
| 2026-07-01 |
Constructive Watch |
60.7 |
73.1 |
+3.27%
|
1967 |
| 2026-05-24 |
Constructive Watch |
59.7 |
75.7 |
+0.65%
|
1390 |
| 2026-05-23 |
Neutral / Stable |
51.8 |
78.4 |
+2.05%
|
372 |