BTC … │ ETH … │ MCAP … BTC DOM … │ F&G … │ Refresh in 60s
BTC / ETH · Cross-Asset Analysis

Correlation, Beta & Lead-Lag

How BTC and ETH are moving relative to each other across three time windows. Derived from synchronized live ticks — updated every 30 seconds.

Live calculation live only - current cycle
BTC
$77,224.38
+0.11% cycle · Neutral / Stable
Direction
50.7/100
Stability
75.5/100
ETH
$2,241.93
+0.19% cycle · Neutral / Stable
Direction
52.8/100
Stability
82.0/100
Active Cycle
Since 09:00 GST today
BTC return-0.300%
ETH return-0.234%
ETH vs BTC+0.066%
Correlation 0.756
ETH beta 0.798
Lead-lag Simultaneous
BTC and ETH moved lower together in this window.
Last 1 Hour
Rolling 60-minute window
BTC return+0.085%
ETH return+0.138%
ETH vs BTC+0.053%
Correlation 0.756
ETH beta 0.798
Lead-lag Simultaneous
BTC and ETH moved higher together in this window.
Last 15 Minutes
Rolling 15-minute window
BTC return-0.011%
ETH return+0.019%
ETH vs BTC+0.030%
Correlation 0.756
ETH beta 0.798
Lead-lag Simultaneous
ETH gained while BTC declined — ETH showing relative strength.

Broad Market Context

CoinMarketCap global — dominance, sentiment, rotation

Total Cap$2.59T
BTC Dom59.8%
ETH Dom10.5%
Fear & Greed35 · fear
Rotationunknown

Macro Pressure

Global risk signals — WTI, Brent, Gold, DXY, VIX, US 10Y

WTI Crude
104.12$/bbl
+2.32%
Brent Crude
113.43$/bbl
-2.06%
Gold
3,898.90$/oz
-3.45%
DXY
101.96
+0.00%
VIX
19.42
+5.60%
US 10Y
4.93%
-1.14%

Active Macro Events

Manually confirmed events affecting both assets

Middle East possible escalation geopolitical
Middle East possible escalation

How to read this

A guide to the cross-asset metrics

Correlation

Pearson correlation of BTC and ETH per-minute returns. A value near 1.0 means both assets are moving together tightly. Near 0 means they're decoupling. Computed from all synchronized live ticks in the current window.

ETH Beta

ETH's sensitivity to BTC moves. A beta of 1.2 means ETH tends to move 1.2% for every 1% BTC moves. Higher beta = ETH amplifies BTC. Lower = ETH is driven by its own factors or relatively insulated.

Lead-Lag

Which asset is leading price discovery. Detected by scanning lag offsets of ±5 one-minute buckets. A clear lead requires correlation ≥ 0.35 at the optimal lag. Simultaneous means no detectable lead direction.

Relative Strength

ETH return minus BTC return in the window. Positive means ETH outperformed; negative means BTC led. This feeds into the direction score — ETH outperformance weighs positively on ETH and negatively on BTC.

Reactive, rule-based. Not investment advice. · Lead-lag is data-derived from common live buckets. Macro causality requires editor confirmation. Not financial advice. © Unlock Blockchain.