Current Regime · Cycle 2026-07-03
Constructive / Stable
Direction 63.7/100 ·
Stability 67.8/100
Intelligence Brief AI · Live
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Why this read?
Signal breakdown — what supports, limits, and what to watch
What supports
Price pressure is constructive — momentum signals are broadly aligned.
Venue coverage is broad — the move is confirmed across major exchanges.
What limits
25) — market caution is elevated.
What to watch
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Neutral band — no dominant signal confirmed.
Gas regime is very low — on-chain activity is subdued.
Direction Score
63.7/100
Constructive directional bias. Momentum signals are broadly aligned.
Stability Score
67.8/100
Structure looks stable. Venue coverage is broad, volatility contained.
Signal Breakdown
Six weighted inputs — their scores drive the direction reading above
Price Pressure
75.0
Weight 34%
Venue Coverage
73.0
Weight 16%
BTC/ETH Transmission
57.9
Weight 18%
Broad Market
47.2
Weight 8%
Ecosystem / Structure
52.0
Weight 14%
ETF / Institutional
50.0
Weight 10%
Engine Context
Systematic read behind the scores — directional and structural narrative
ETH is showing constructive directional bias (Direction 63.7/100). Momentum signals are broadly aligned.
Market structure looks stable (Stability 67.8/100). Venue coverage is broad and price volatility is contained.
Macro Pressure
Global risk and commodity signals — 30-min cache · Yahoo Finance
WTI Crude
68.59
$/bbl
-0.92%
Brent Crude
71.97
$/bbl
-0.03%
Gold
3,992.50
$/oz
-2.11%
On-Chain Context
Etherscan mainnet — gas, staking, stablecoin supply
Gas (Base Fee)
0.067
gwei
regime: very_low
Staked ETH
2,940,327
2.4% of supply staked
Stablecoin Supply
$160.5B
signal: normal
Stablecoin Supply — Ethereum Mainnet
| Token | On-chain Supply |
|---|
| USDT | $97.1B |
| USDC | $50.1B |
| DAI | $4.6B |
| PYUSD | $1.9B |
| USDe | $4.4B |
| FRAX | $239.6M |
| crvUSD | $2.1B |
Updated 2026-07-03 23:51 UTC · Etherscan V2 · Ethereum mainnet
Broad Market Context
CoinMarketCap — total cap, dominance, sentiment, rotation
Total Market Cap$2.17T
BTC Dominance57.9%
ETH Dominance9.8%
Fear & Greed25 · fear
Rotationunknown
ETF / Institutional Context
Flow data scaled to ETH AUM tier
ETF Flow Signal
neutral
ETF flow data not confirmed.
Institutional score: 50.0/100
Cross-Asset Context
BTC/ETH relationship in the active cycle
Active Cycle Window
Live
BTC and ETH moved higher together in this window.
Lead-lag: simultaneous
Active Macro Context
Manually confirmed events affecting the market window
Middle East possible escalation
geopolitical
Middle East possible escalation
2026-05-24
· scope: both
7-Day Cycle Archive
Sealed daily cycles — 09:00 GST boundary
| Cycle Date |
Closing Regime |
Avg Direction |
Avg Stability |
Price Change |
Snapshots |
| 2026-07-02 |
Constructive / Stable |
63.8 |
62.1 |
+4.40%
|
2439 |
| 2026-07-01 |
Constructive Watch |
58.3 |
72.9 |
+3.31%
|
1967 |
| 2026-05-24 |
Neutral / Stable |
55.3 |
72.0 |
-0.70%
|
1376 |
| 2026-05-23 |
Constructive / Stable |
59.7 |
74.7 |
+3.63%
|
369 |